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Flood hazard maps generation caused by hypothetical failure of the Tabqa Dam by use of HEC-RAS 2D model

Sadeq Oleiwi Sulaiman

Dams & Water Resources Engineering Department, University of Anbar, Iraq, email: sadeq.sulaiman@uoanbar.edu.iq

(2025) 97–106
https://doi.org/10.5004.dsal.2025.700026

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Water Treat., vol. 281 (2023) 7–14, doi: 10.5004/dwt.2023.28239. [5] K.N. Sayl, S.O. Sulaiman, A.H. Kamel, N. Al Ansari, Towards the generation of a spatial hydrological soil group map based on the radial basis network model and spectral reflectance band recognition, Int. J. Design Nature Ecodynamics, 17(5) (2022) 761–766. doi:10.18280/ijdne.170514. [6] S.O. Sulaiman, N.S. Mahmood, A.H. Kamel, N. Al-Ansari, The evaluation of the SWAT model performance to predict the runoff values in the Iraqi western desert, Environ. Ecol. Res., 9(6) (2021) 330–339, doi:10.13189/eer.2021.090602. [7] M. Eryiğit, S.O. Sulaiman, Specifying optimum water resources based on cost-benefit relationship for settlements by artificial immune systems: Case study of Rutba City, Iraq, Water Supply, 22(6) (2022) 5873–5881, doi: 10.2166/ws.2022.227. [8] S.O. Sulaiman, G. Al-Dulaimi, H. Al Thamiry, Natural rivers longitudinal dispersion coefficient simulation using hybrid soft computing model, Proc. Int. Conf. Developments in eSystems Engineering, DeSE, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., July 2019, pp. 280–283. doi: 10.1109/DeSE.2018.00056. [9] U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, HEC-RAS River Analysis System HEC-RAS Hydraulic Reference Manual, Davis, CA 95616, Dec. 2023. Available at http://www.hec.usace.army.mil [10] M.J. Al-Kazwini, R.H. Al-Suhaily, S.A. Al-hdawi, Numerical Modeling of Flood Wave Behavior with Meandering Effects (Euphrates River, Haditha-Hit), 2011. [11] H.H. Mhmood, M. Yilmaz, S.O. Sulaiman, Simulation of the flood wave caused by hypothetical failure of the Haditha Dam, J. Appl. Water Eng. Res., (2022) 1–11, doi: 10.1080/23249676.2022.2050312. [12] I.R. Karim, Z.F. Hassan, H.H. Abdullah, I.A. Alwan, 2d-hec-ras modeling of flood wave propagation in a semi-arid area due to dam overtopping failure, Civil Eng. J. (Iran), 7(9) (2021) 1501–1514, doi:10.28991/cej-2021-03091739. [13] N. Ongdas, F. Akiyanova, Y. Karakulov, A. Muratbayeva, N. Zinabdin, Application of hec-ras (2d) for flood hazard maps generation for Yesil (Ishim) river in Kazakhstan, Water (Switzerland), 12(10) (2020) 1–20, Oct. 2020, doi:10.3390/w12102672. [14] M. Beza, A. Fikre, A. Moshe, Dam breach modeling and downstream flood inundation mapping using HEC-RAS model on the proposed Gumara Dam, Ethiopia, Adv. Civil Eng., (2023) 1–15, doi: 10.1155/2023/8864328. [15] M. Garcia, A. Juan, P. Bedient, Integrating reservoir operations and flood modeling with HEC-RAS 2D, Water (Switzerland), 12(8) (2020), doi: 10.3390/w12082259. [16] A. Khan, I. Pathan, P.G. Agnihotri, 2-D Unsteady Flow Modelling and Inundation Mapping for Lower Region of Purna Basin Using HEC-RAS, 2023. [Online]. Available at www.neptjournal.com [17] K. Vashist, K.K. Singh, HEC-RAS 2D modeling for flood inundation mapping: a case study of the Krishna River Basin, Water Pract. Technol., 18(4) (2023) 831–844, doi:10.2166/wpt.2023.048. O. Rahimzadeh, A. Bahremand, N. Noura, M. Mukolwe, Evaluating flood extent mapping of two hydraulic models, 1D HEC-RAS and [18] 2D LISFLOOD-FP in comparison with aerial imagery observations in Gorgan flood plain, Iran, Nat. Resour. Model., 32(4) (2019), doi: 10.1111/nrm.12214. [19] A.M. Noon, H.G. Ibrahim, S.O. Sulaiman, Application of water evaluation and planning (WEAP) model for reuse of urban wastewater in Western Iraq, in AIP Conf. Proc., Amer. Inst. Physics Inc., Jan. 2022. doi: 10.1063/5.0067164. [20] I.M. Abdulhameed, S.O. Sulaiman, A.B.A. Najm, N. Al-Ansari, Optimising water resources management by using water evaluation and planning (WEAP) in the West of Iraq, J. Water Land Develop., 53 (2022) 176–186, doi: 10.24425/jwld.2022.140795. [21] S.A. Aude, N.S. Mahmood, S.O. Sulaiman, H.H. Abdullah, N. Al Ansari, Slope stability and soil liquefaction analysis of earth dams with a proposed method of geotextile reinforcement, Int. J. GEOMATE, 22(94) (2022) 102–112, doi: 10.21660/2022.94.j2241. [22] D.C. Froehlich, Embankment dam breach parameters and their uncertainties, J. Hydraul. Eng., 134(12) (2008) 1708–1721, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9429(2008)134:12(1708). [23] N.S. Mahmood, S.A. Aude, H.H. Abdullah, S.O. Sulaiman, N. Al Ansari, Analysis of slope stability and soil liquefaction of zoned earth dams using numerical modeling, Int. J. Design Nature Ecodynamics, 17(4) (2022) 557–562, doi: 10.18280/ijdne.170409.
$45.00
Abstract

One of the most devastating natural calamities is flooding. Time of occurrence, mode of spread, and magnitude are all crucial pieces of information to have. Catchments and regions are frequently reported to have been flooded, with tragic results including loss of life, destruction of property, suspension of traffic, loss of power, and suspension of community activities. The height of infrastructure like bridges and levees is based in part on the predicted flood water level; thus, its calculation is essential. The failure of dams occurs from several factors, including what is natural, such as heavy rains in excess of the capacity of the dam reservoir, violent earthquakes that strike the dam area, or a result of human action, such as explosions resulting from wars and defective maintenance of the dam’s facilities. This leads to flooding on neighboring properties when water flows out of its channel. Decision-makers can use flood analysis to better foresee and prepare for floods. In this case study, a numerical model was constructed for the Euphrates River to predict how flood waves would flow via the river’s channel and floodplains. It is based on a slightly altered version of the full Saint-Venant equations of unsteady flow. The hydrodynamic model was used to look into what would happen if Tabqa Dam failed and how it would affect the Euphrates River’s peak flow, peak water level, lag time of peak flow, and lag time of peak water level along the river reach under study. This was done for different values of the Manning roughness coefficient of the floodplain. The study area spanned 575 km from Tabqa Dam to Haditha Dam along the Euphrates River. The HEC-RAS 6.4.1 model in two dimension was applied to the study area to simulate and produce maps showing the latitudinal spread of water, inundation areas, and wave arrival time over most of the major cities along the Euphrates River in the study area. The ability of Haditha Dam to drain the flood wave reaching the dam lake was also simulated.

Keywords: Flood wave; HEC-RAS 2D; Tabqa dam; Haditha dam

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